Climate adaptation imperatives: untapped global maize yield opportunities

Abstract

Climate change represents an unavoidable and growing challenge to food security, imposing new adaptation imperatives on all farmers. Maize is arguably the world's most productive grain crop, as measured by grain yield. However, maize yields vary dramatically due to many factors, including soils, climate, pests, disease, agronomic practices, and seed quality. 皇冠体育app difference between observed yields and those achievable by optimized crop production methods is called the yield gap. In this work we quantified the current yield gap for 44 countries through the use of a large private-sector data set recently made available to the crop modelling community. 皇冠体育app yield gap was quantified for three groups of countries, categorized by level of intensification. Observed yield gaps for high, medium, and low levels of intensification are 23%, 46%, and 68%, respectively. If all maize production countries were able to shrink their yield gap to 16.5% (as in the USA) an additional 335鈥卪illion metric tons (MMT) of maize grain would be produced. This represents a 45% increase over the 741鈥匨MT produced by these countries in 2010. 皇冠体育appse data demonstrate that a major untapped maize yield opportunity exists, especially in those countries where intensification has not kept pace with the rest of the world.

Citation

Gustafson, D.I.; Jones, J. W.; Porter, C.H.; Hyman, G.; Edgerton, M.D.; Gocken, T.; Shryock, J.; Doane, M.; Budreski, K.; Stone, C.; Healy, D.; Ramsey, N. Climate adaptation imperatives: untapped global maize yield opportunities. International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability (2014) : [DOI: 10.1080/14735903.2013.867694]

Updates to this page

Published 1 January 2014