University of Warwick: Projections of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and COVID-19 disease until June 2022, 12 October 2021
Papers prepared by University of Warwick.
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Papers from the University of Warwick summarising modelling on scenarios for COVID-19 over Autumn and Winter. 皇冠体育appy were considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021.
皇冠体育appses paper are an assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.
皇冠体育app first paper should be read alongside the accompanying modelling papers from SAGE 96:
- SPI-M-O: Summary of modelling for scenarios for COVID-19 autumn and winter 2021 to 2022, 13 October 2021
- LSHTM: autumn鈥搘inter scenarios 2021 to 2022, 13 October 2021
- Imperial College London: autumn and winter 2021 to 2022: potential COVID-19 epidemic trajectories - Part 1, 13 October 2021
- University of Bristol: Trade off between population immunity and return-to-work for COVID-19 control, autumn and winter 2021 scenarios, 12 October 2021
皇冠体育app second paper on exploration of control measures, should be read in conjunction with the first paper and the summary paper from SAGE 96:
皇冠体育appse documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. 皇冠体育appse documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.